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Politics · Israel and Gaza

8-Point Lead: Democrats Favored for House Control in New Poll

The NPR/PBS News/Marist poll shows a strong edge for Democrats among likely voters, while financial stress and immigration define the key issues for different voter groups.

By Jonathan Ramirez ·

Illustration for: 8-Point Lead: Democrats Favored for House Control in New Poll
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Democrats hold an eight-point advantage over Republicans in the generic congressional ballot, according to a new NPR/PBS News/Marist poll released today. The survey indicates that Democrats are favored to gain control of the U.S. House in the upcoming midterm elections. President Trump's approval rating stands at 40 percent, a slight improvement from recent levels.

The poll identifies financial hardship as a primary driver of voter sentiment. One in three Americans reported facing financial difficulties, and 40 percent said their personal finances are worsening. For Democrats and independents, preserving democracy resonates as a top issue. In contrast, immigration ranks as the most important concern for MAGA supporters.

NPR's Domenico Montanaro noted that while a Democratic takeover of the House appears likely, the Senate remains a toss-up. He warned that patience is required for many races, as it is unlikely winners will be clear by election night. This delay is expected in close elections due to the time required for vote counting.

In a related development, a federal judge is hearing arguments today in the Trump administration's bid to compel California to set aside ballots from voters it alleges may not be citizens. This action follows an appeals court decision last night that declined the administration's request to intervene. The administration also announced a $1 million reward for tips on voter fraud that lead to a conviction.

Election officials and Democrats are preparing for potential accusations of fraud, a pattern that has followed every election President Trump has participated in. The White House maintains its efforts aim to secure the elections, though election officials say credible evidence of fraud significant enough to affect U.S. outcomes has never been found.

In Israel, voters are casting ballots today in the first election since the October 7, 2023, Hamas attacks. The vote will determine whether Benjamin Netanyahu remains prime minister or is replaced by Gadi Eisenkot, a former military chief promising more diplomacy. High turnout is expected, with many Israelis abroad flying home to participate.

NPR's Ruth Sherlock reported that by Wednesday morning, the leading side in Parliament seats should be clear, though the final prime minister may not be determined until after days or weeks of party negotiations. Some voters, like Itamar Ariel, support Netanyahu for security, while others seek a change in leadership and an investigation into the security failures of 2023.

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