Miami and Oklahoma State favored to cover in Saturday's college slate
A projection model predicts Miami will dominate North Carolina and Oklahoma State will beat Iowa State, with combined odds of +284 for a two-leg parlay.
By Kaito Sokolov ·
Fans who place a wager on Saturday's top college football games stand to see their bets pay out at +284 odds if they combine two specific picks into a single bet. This potential return means a $100 stake would yield a profit of $284, according to SportsLine data. The odds are subject to change before the games begin.
SportsLine, a betting analysis firm, uses a projection model that simulates every FBS game 10,000 times to identify value. The model entered Week 9 with a 68-59 record on its top-rated college football picks. That performance translated to nearly $400 in returns for bettors who staked $100 on those selections.
The primary recommendation is for Miami to cover its 14-point spread against North Carolina. Miami enters the game with a 7-0 record and the No. 1 offense in the nation, averaging 44.3 points per game. Quarterback Darian Mensah has thrown for 2,151 yards and 21 touchdowns, while wide receiver Malachi Toney has 952 yards and 11 touchdowns. The model projects Miami to cover in 58% of its simulations.
North Carolina, now 4-3 in its second season under head coach Bill Belichick, has a 1-2 record against the spread at home. The Tar Heels face a difficult task containing Miami's high-powered attack.
SportsLine expert Micah Roberts also selected Oklahoma State to cover a 9.5-point spread against Iowa State. Roberts noted that Oklahoma State coach Eric Morris brought quarterback Drew Mestemaker from North Texas. Mestemaker leads the Big 12 Conference in scoring with 40 points per game. "Mestemaker has finally caught the attention of all the scouts in the NFL," Roberts said.
Iowa State is 3-4 on the year after losing head coach Matt Campbell and quarterback Rocco Becht to Penn State in the offseason. Oklahoma State has covered the spread in six straight games while winning five of them.
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