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Tuesday, November 10, 2026
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Texas, Missouri Face Off Friday

Two 6-2 SEC teams meet at noon Eastern, with a SportsLine model projecting 47 points.

By Kaito Sokolov ·

Illustration for: Texas, Missouri Face Off Friday
Illustration generated for this article, not a news photograph.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated this matchup 10,000 times and projects a combined total of 47 points. That figure drives the betting markets for the Friday noon Eastern Time clash between the Texas Longhorns and the Missouri Tigers at Faurot Field in Columbia. The simulation results show the Over as the favored side in 62% of the scenarios.

Both teams enter Week 10 with identical 6-2 records. A loss for either squad would result in three defeats, creating a difficult gap to close in the College Football Playoff race. Texas arrives as the No. 7 team in the nation, buoyed by consecutive wins over Ole Miss and Mississippi State. Missouri, ranked No. 18, defeated Arkansas 34-10 in its previous contest.

Betting odds list Texas as 2.5-point favorites. The total points line for the game is set at 42.5. Historical trends support the high-scoring projection. The Under has only occurred in Missouri's last three games. Texas has seen the Under hit in only four of its last six contests.

Texas quarterback Arch Manning has thrown for 1,727 yards, 15 touchdowns, and seven interceptions this season. The Longhorns defense allows 17.1 points per game. However, the team faces injury issues on offense. Running back Hollywood Smothers is listed as out for the game.

Missouri quarterback Austin Simmons has accumulated 1,952 passing yards, 16 touchdowns, and two interceptions. Running back Jamal Roberts has rushed for over 1,000 yards. The Tigers have allowed at least 31 points in each of their three losses. Texas has surrendered 27 points in three of its last four games.

The SportsLine model has recorded a record of 80 wins and 77 losses with its top-rated college football picks entering this week. The specific side of the spread that hits in more than 60% of simulations is available through the service. The matchup tests whether Texas can contain the Missouri rush and if the Longhorns can manage their roster depth.

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